Política de los EE.UU. - Trump Policy Specials (9)

Will Greenland become a US state in 2025?

6/4/25 4:00

Greenland US State?

• Sí +1200
• No -6600

Applies to Greenland becoming a state within United States federal system/altering system of governance to be governed by US law under US sovereignty in 2025. Formal agreement to above within 2025 will count. Bookmaker decision final.

Will Trump meet Putin by the end of April 2025?

6/4/25 4:00

Will Trump Meet Putin?

• Sí +1000
• No -4000

Donald Trump Sr and Vladimir Putin; Meet = in person with face to face communication as covered by national televised news.

Will the Panama Canal come under US control in 2025?

6/4/25 17:00

Panama Canal

• Sí +350
• No -550

Applies to Panama coming under full legal and operational control of United States in 2025. Formal agreement to above within 2025 will count. Bookmaker decision final.

Who will Trump kick out of the White House next?

7/4/25 2:00

Who will Trump kick out next?

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• Elon Musk +400
• Justin Trudeau +400
• Donald Tusk +600
• Pedro Sánchez +1000
• Emmanuel Macron +1200
• JD Vance +1500
• Keir Starmer +1500
• Mark Zuckerberg +1500
• Melania Trump +1500
• Antonio Costa +2000
• Micheál Martin +2000
• Shigeru Ishiba +2000
• Some school children +2000
• Ursula von der Leyen +2000
• Dick Schoof +3000
• Evika Siliņa +3000
• Jonas Gahr Støre +3000
• Luis Montenegro +3000
• Petr Fiala +3000
• Simon Harris +3000
• Ulf Kristersson +3000
• Kim Jong Un +4000
• Vladimir Putin +4000

White House press secretary must confirm that Trump has curtailed a scheduled visit by asking person to leave early. Must happen by the end of Trump's current term Others on request.

Pete Hegseth: Defense Secretary Exit Date

13/4/25 4:00

Hegseth Exit Date

• Q2 2025 +700
• Q3 2025 +800
• Q4 2025 +800
• No antes del 2026 -400

Date that Pete Hegseth first ceases to be Defense Secretary.

Will US cease to be a full NATO member in 2025?

20/4/25 4:00

Will US leave NATO?

• Sí +1200
• No -6600

According to NATO's list of states with full membership.

Will there be a US government shutdown in 2025?

21/4/25 1:00

Govt Shutdown in 2025?

• Sí +150
• No -200

Partial or full shutdown as reported by Associated Press.

Will there be a US recession in 2025?

28/4/25 0:00

US Recession?

• Sí +125
• No -165

Recession = two consecutive quarters of negative growth. Applies from Q4 2024 to Q4 2025 inclusive.

Who will buy TikTok (US Unit)?

4/5/25 4:00

Who will buy TikTok?

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• Oracle EVEN
• Larry Ellison +140
• Frank McCourt +600
• Microsoft +600
• Perplexity AI +600
• Elon Musk +1200
• MrBeast +1200
• Alexis Ohanian +2000
• X (Twitter) +2000
• Meta +2500
• Steve Mnuchin +2500
• Amazon +3000
• Rumble +3000
• Sam Altman +3000
• Walmart +3500

Applies to US unit acquisition/merger. TikTok announcement of agreement will count for settlement. Dead heat rules may apply. Bookmaker decision final. Others on request.