Pete Hegseth: Defense Secretary Exit Date

13/4/25 4:00

Hegseth Exit Date

Date that Pete Hegseth first ceases to be Defense Secretary.

When will Elon Musk cease to be a member of the Trump administration?

13/4/25 17:00

Elon Musk Govt Exit Date

Applies to date that Musk ceases to have a role in Trump executive/policy/federal/White House/advisory administration. Change of role will not count. Bookmaker decision on settlement is final.

When will Trump remove the 25% Canada tariff?

13/4/25 17:00

Canada Tariff

Applies to 2025 and to executive or legislative order that removes the general 25% tariff imposed on Canada imports/products in January 2025. Bookmaker decision final.

Will US cease to be a full NATO member in 2025?

20/4/25 4:00

Will US leave NATO?

According to NATO's list of states with full membership.

Will there be a US government shutdown in 2025?

21/4/25 1:00

Govt Shutdown in 2025?

Partial or full shutdown as reported by Associated Press.

Will there be a US recession in 2025?

28/4/25 0:00

US Recession?

Recession = two consecutive quarters of negative growth. Applies from Q4 2024 to Q4 2025 inclusive.

Who will buy TikTok (US Unit)?

4/5/25 4:00

Who will buy TikTok?

Applies to US unit acquisition/merger. TikTok announcement of agreement will count for settlement. Dead heat rules may apply. Bookmaker decision final. Others on request.