US Presidential Election 2024 - 2024 Election Core (12)

US Presidential Election 2024 - Odds to Win

11/6/24 5:00 AM

US Presidential Election 2024 Winner

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• Donald Trump Sr. -165
• Kamala Harris +145
• JD Vance +20000
• Michelle Obama +40000
• Hillary Clinton +50000
• Nikki Haley +50000
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. +50000
• Tim Walz +50000

US Presidential Election 2024 - Winning Party

11/6/24 5:00 AM

Winning Party

• Republican Party -165
• Democratic Party +145
• Other +50000

US Presidential Election 2024 - Popular Vote Winner

11/6/24 5:02 AM

Party Of Popular Vote Winner

• Democratic Party -380
• Republican Party +270
• Other +30000

US Presidential Election 2024 - Popular Vote Winner

11/6/24 5:02 AM

Popular Vote Winner

• Kamala Harris -380
• Donald Trump +270
• Michelle Obama +30000
• Other +30000
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. +30000

Presidency/Popular Vote Winner Parlays

11/6/24 5:03 AM

Presidency/Pop Vote Winners

• Democrat Presidency & Democrat Popular Vote +145
• Republican Presidency & Democrat Popular Vote +150
• Republican Presidency & Republican Popular Vote +300
• Democrat Presidency & Republican Popular Vote +3000

Presidency settled in accordance with outright market rules. Others on request.

US Presidential Election 2024 - Popular Vote Winning Margin

11/6/24 5:03 AM

Popular Vote Winning Margin

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• Trump by 7% or more +4000
• Trump by 6 to 6.99% +5000
• Trump by 5 to 5.99% +5000
• Trump by 4 to 4.99% +3000
• Trump by 3 to 3.99% +2000
• Trump by 2 to 2.99% +1800
• Trump by 1 to 1.99% +1200
• Trump by 0 to 0.99% +750
• Harris by 0 to 0.99% +700
• Harris by 1 to 1.99% +600
• Harris by 2 to 2.99% +600
• Harris by 3 to 3.99% +625
• Harris by 4 to 4.99% +800
• Harris by 5 to 5.99% +1100
• Harris by 6 to 6.99% +1200
• Harris by 7% or more +900

US Presidential Election 2024 - Balance Of Power: Presidency/Senate/House

11/6/24 5:03 AM

Balance of Power

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• REP Presidency; REP Senate; REP House +150
• DEM Presidency; REP Senate; DEM House +250
• DEM Presidency; DEM Senate; DEM House +400
• REP Presidency; REP Senate; DEM House +500
• DEM Presidency; REP Senate; REP House +1100
• DEM Presidency; DEM Senate; REP House +4000

Refers to Senate/House control via majority of seats (VP affiliation counts). In event of no result on majority of seats, the first elected Speaker party will be used for settlement. Others on request.

US Presidential Election 2024 - Electoral College Winning Margin

11/6/24 5:03 AM

Electoral College Winning Margin

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• GOP 215+ +5000
• GOP 155 - 214 +4000
• GOP 105 - 154 +1100
• GOP 65 - 104 +350
• GOP 35 - 64 +525
• GOP 15 - 34 +1200
• GOP 5 - 14 +3000
• GOP 1 - 4 +3000
• DEM 0 - 4 +1100
• DEM 5 - 14 +1500
• DEM 15 - 34 +1500
• DEM 35 - 64 +850
• DEM 65 - 104 +550
• DEM 105 - 154 +1100
• DEM 155 - 214 +1800
• DEM 215+ +2000

State electoral college votes will be counted for the nominee that wins the popular vote. A tie in EC votes = DEM 0-4 win. Votes attained by a third party/ies will have no bearing.

US Presidential Election 2024 - Election Specials

11/6/24 5:04 AM

Closest state in the Presidential election?

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• Pennsylvania +285
• Wisconsin +600
• Any Other +550
• Michigan +550
• Nevada +375
• North Carolina +750
• New Hampshire +1200
• Georgia +650
• Arizona +800
• Minnesota +1200
• Texas +1200
• Florida +1500

difference between the percentages of votes received by first and the second-place candidate will be used for Grading

US Presidential Election 2024 - Election Specials

11/6/24 5:04 AM

Election Specials

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• 269-269 tie in Electoral College +1400
• All third party candidates combined receive 2% or more of the total popular vote -195
• Any Faithless elector in US election +175
• Any State to have a State wide recount in Presidential Election +110
• Harris to win a State Won By Trump in 2020 +135
• Harris to win Any Of AL, AK, AR, ID, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, MS, MO, MT, NE, ND, OH, OK, SC, SD, TN, UT, WV, WY +250
• Harris To Win Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania & Wisconsin +450
• Harris to win Wisconsin, Michigan, & Pennsylvania +120
• Harris Wins 270-268 +800
• Harris wins 273-265 +1200
• Harris wins 275-263 +1500
• Harris wins 276-262 +800
• Harris wins 276-262 +800
• Harris wins 287-251 +1100
• Harris wins 319-219 +700
• Harris wins by 100 or more electoral votes +325
• Harris Wins Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina +375
• Harris wins Pennsylvania but loses the Election +475
• Harris wins the election but loses any of Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania +400
• Harris wins the election but loses Michigan +700
• Trump to win a State Won By Biden in 2020 -700
• Trump to Win Any Of California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia, Or Washington. +400
• Trump to win Wisconsin, Michigan, & Pennsylvania +270
• Trump wins Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania +220
• Trump wins 270-268 +1200
• Trump wins 281-257 +900
• Trump wins 283-255 +1100
• Trump wins 287-251 +700
• Trump wins 306-232 +1500
• Trump wins 312-226 +550
• Trump wins 316-222 +1200
• Trump wins 322-216 +1100
• Trump wins by 100 or more electoral votes +475
• Trump Wins Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina +110
• Trump wins Pennsylvania but loses the Election +600
• Trump wins the election but loses Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania +170
• U.S. Presidential election decided by Less Than 100K votes EVEN
• U.S. Presidential election decided by Less Than 10k votes +800

U.S. Presidential election decided by Less Than x votes refers to if the second-place candidate in the 2024 U.S. presidential election could reach 270 Electoral College votes with the additional votes, distributed optimally across any number of relevant jurisdictions

US Presidential Election 2024 - Election Specials

11/6/24 5:04 AM

State Harris wins by the largest margin?

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• Vermont -300
• Maryland +700
• Massachusetts +1200
• Hawaii +900
• Califronia +2000
• Rhode Island +5000
• Delaware +5000
• New York +5000
• Connecticut +5000
• Any Other +4000

difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate will be used for Grading

US Presidential Election 2024 - Election Specials

11/6/24 5:04 AM

State Trump wins by the largest margin?

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• Wyoming -350
• West Virginia +450
• North Dakota +1500
• Idaho +1500
• Oklahoma +1800
• Arkansas +2200
• Any Other +1800

difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate will be used for Grading

US Presidential Election 2024 - Election Specials

11/6/24 5:04 AM

Tipping Point State

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• Pennsylvania +150
• Michigan +500
• Wisconsin +500
• North Carolina +550
• Georgia +1000
• Arizona +1500
• Nevada +2500
• Florida +2500
• Texas +5000
• Minnesota +5000
• New Mexico +5000
• New Hampshire +5000

This is the state that will give the election winner their 270th electoral vote

US Presidential Election 2024 - Swing States

11/6/24 5:04 AM

How many swing states will Trump win?

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• 0 +700
• 1 +700
• 2 +700
• 3 +600
• 4 +525
• 5 +425
• 6 +550
• 7 +325

Swing states = Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin.

US Presidential Election 2024 - Voter Turnout

11/6/24 9:00 AM

How many votes will Harris get in the 2024 Presidential election

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• <68m +1100
• 68-70m +1500
• 70-72m +800
• 72-74m +1000
• 74-76m +650
• 76-78m +550
• 78-80m +375
• 80-82m +550
• 82-84m +650
• 84-86m +650
• 86-88m +650
• 88m+ +700

US Presidential Election 2024 - Voter Turnout

11/6/24 9:00 AM

How many votes will Trump get in the 2024 Presidential election

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• <66m +1500
• 66-68m +1500
• 68-70m +1200
• 70-72m +900
• 72-74m +425
• 74-76m +475
• 76-78m +475
• 78-80m +475
• 80-82m +650
• 82-84m +650
• 84-86m +800
• 86m+ +270

As Per uselectionatlas.org

US Presidential Election 2024 - Voter Turnout

11/6/24 9:00 AM

What will be the Turnout in 2024 Presidential election

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• <130m +2200
• 130-135m +2200
• 135-140m +2200
• 140-145m +2200
• 145-150m +700
• 150-155m +300
• 155-160m +230
• 160-165m +300
• 165-170m +700
• 170-175m +700
• 175m+ +800

As Per uselectionatlas.org

US Presidential Election 2024 - Voter Turnout

11/6/24 9:00 AM

Will Harris get more votes than Biden in 2020?

• Yes (Over 81,286,454 Votes) +135
• No (Under 81,286,454 Votes) -175

As Per uselectionatlas.org

US Presidential Election 2024 - Voter Turnout

11/6/24 9:00 AM

Will there be a Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

• Yes (Over 158,594,895 Votes) -160
• No (Under 158,594,895 Votes) +120

As Per uselectionatlas.org

US Presidential Election 2024 - Voter Turnout

11/6/24 9:00 AM

Will Trump get more votes than he did in 2020?

• Yes (Over 74,225,926 Votes) -425
• No (Under 74,225,926 Votes) +300

As Per uselectionatlas.org

US Presidential Election 2024 - 3rd Party Specials

11/6/24 10:00 AM

RFK Jr. popular vote share

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• <1% -260
• 1-1.99% +300
• 2-2.99% +900
• 3-3.99% +1500
• 4-4.99% +1800
• 5-5.99% +2200
• 6-6.99% +3000
• >7% +4000

US Presidential Election 2024 - 3rd Party Specials

11/6/24 10:00 AM

Which 3rd party candidate get the most votes

• Jill Stein -120
• RFK Jr. +240
• Chase Oliver +240
• Cornel West +2500
• Vermin Supreme +4000

US Presidential Election 2024 - 3rd Party Specials

11/6/24 10:00 AM

Will Jill Stein get 1% Or More of the popular vote

• No -115
• Yes -115

US Presidential Election 2024 - 3rd Party Specials

11/6/24 10:00 AM

Will RFK Jr. place second in any state

• Yes +1800
• No -20000

US Presidential Election 2024 - 3rd Party Specials

11/6/24 10:00 AM

Will RFK Jr. wins a state

• Yes +5000

US Presidential Election 2024 - Post Election Specials

11/6/24 10:00 AM

Post Election Specials

• Trump wins and nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? +160
• Trump wins and picks Jamie Dimon for Treasury Secretary +800
• Trump wins & Ukraine war ends in 90 days after taking Power +230
• Trump wins and nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet +150
• Harris wins and bans X within two weeks of her inauguration +1500