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When will Elon Musk cease to be a member of the Trump administration?
Elon Musk Govt Exit Date
Applies to date that Musk ceases to have a role in Trump executive/policy/federal/White House/advisory administration. Change of role will not count. Bookmaker decision on settlement is final.

When will Trump remove the 25% Canada tariff?
Canada Tariff
Applies to 2025 and to executive or legislative order that removes the general 25% tariff imposed on Canada imports/products in January 2025. Bookmaker decision final.

Will US cease to be a full NATO member in 2025?
Will US leave NATO?
According to NATO's list of states with full membership.

Will there be a US government shutdown in 2025?
Govt Shutdown in 2025?
Partial or full shutdown as reported by Associated Press.

Will there be a US recession in 2025?
US Recession?
Recession = two consecutive quarters of negative growth. Applies from Q4 2024 to Q4 2025 inclusive.
